In our last publication [see], we studied the behavior of inflation across time. Peaks of inflation occur by respecting regularities. In the same time, growth follows similar regularities with different…
The deep structure of economy is cyclical, as if human interactions would be comparable to a system of cumulative responses, repeating over and over. Inflation doesn’t derogate to this rule.…
In 1854, agriculture was 40% of the US GDP. Nowadays, agriculture is around 1,5% of the GDP (1,45% of the US GDP in 2013). The importance of agriculture, the most…
Historically writing, great market crash are preceded by a fall in interest rate. The market correction continues generally until a bottom in directives rates has been achieved. Since one-year, financial…
Our XXI century economy is determined by the evolution of innovations through time. There are cycles for economy and innovation. Innovation is a cumulative process, boosting and slowing economy. Major…
COVID-19 crisis resulted in a high dependence to interest rate. We assisted to a significant rebound in financial assets in 2020. While interest rates are becoming higher since months, markets…
While western civilization is dangerously coming to a zero growth and inflation, Asia is surpassing the entire world. Virus benefited to Asia. On the next decades, we could assist…
Monetary policies: when fear become greed… This article follows our previous article on a possible hyper negative rate. We saw the impact of potential policies on economy like hyper negative…
Can we plunge to a -4% or -5% interest rate? We are heading a major economic and monetary problematic on this century. More than an economic problem, it remains a…
Que penser d’un « super cycle » économique ? – Thomas Andrieu. https://www.lesprosdeleco.com/que-penser-dun-super-cycle-economique-thomas-andrieu/ Étant souvent considéré comme un spécialiste des cycles économiques et financiers, j’apporte ici une réponse à une…